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DAENTRIES 7TH WOX MAY 3 8.5F G114600 0 BUM 1 1/16 MILES DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING PURSE $114600 (04:28) (7 )

🏟 Woodbine 📅 2026-05-03 📏 8½F Dirt OClm 32000b 💰 $114,600
📡 Fetch History

Field — 7 Runners

1
BEAUTIFUL SKY
0.0%
RPR 73
Form 3322313--1
Off 178d
lbs 123
ML 20-1
J FORDE XAREL
T POWELL DALE A
By SKY MESA Out of ANOTHER FLASHBACK
🥇 0.0% 🥈 0.5% 🥉 3.4% Avg 5.0 ⚡ 1 longshot wins
2
POWER OF DESTINY
23.6%
Form -3-----3-1
Off 181d
lbs 123
ML 5-2
J HERNANDEZ RAFAEL MANUEL
T BEGG JAMES BENTLEY
By SEA THE STARS Out of RUX POWER
🥇 23.6% 🥈 53.9% 🥉 71.8% Avg 2.7
3
VAZHI
0.7%
RPR 83
Form -1--12-1--
Off 43d
lbs 123
ML 6-1
J MUNGER RYAN
T CARROLL JOSIE
By MENDELSSOHN Out of CREATIVE TALENT
🥇 0.7% 🥈 15.8% 🥉 56.3% Avg 3.3
4
ELLA IT IS
6.0%
RPR 80
Form -221--1-12
Off 141d
lbs 123
ML 3-1
J MORAN PIETRO
T CASSE MARK
By POINT OF ENTRY Out of OUR ELLA
🥇 6.0% 🥈 33.4% 🥉 67.7% Avg 3.0
5
SWINGING MANDY SCRATCHED
RPR 84
Form 1-22311223
Off 352d
lbs 123
ML 2-1
J AEBLY FRASER
T CASSE MARK
By GIANT GIZMO Out of MORE THAN BANDEAU
6
PEACE POSEY
0.0%
RPR 75
Form -----33-22
Off 147d
lbs 118
ML 20-1
J BLACKETT KEMAIRE
T HOLDER TEDSTON
By DANISH DYNAFORMER Out of MORNING TALE
🥇 0.0% 🥈 0.1% 🥉 1.0% Avg 5.6
7
GALLEY HEAD
69.8%
RPR 86
Form 3112123121
Off 35d
lbs 123
ML 8-1
J VIVES SOFIA
T BEGG JAMES BENTLEY
By FREUD Out of DUBLIN GIRL
🥇 69.8% 🥈 96.3% 🥉 99.8% Avg 1.3

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 7 GALLEY HEAD SPEED LEADER 86.3 8-1 35d 123121 69.8%
2 3 VAZHI 83.3 6-1 43d 12-1-- 0.7%
3 4 ELLA IT IS 80 3-1 141d --1-12 6.0%
4 6 PEACE POSEY 75.3 20-1 147d -33-22 0.0%
5 1 BEAUTIFUL SKY 73.7 20-1 178d 313--1 0.0%
6 2 POWER OF DESTINY — First starter 5-2 181d ---3-1 23.6%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-25 17:58:35
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 7 GALLEY HEAD
69.77%
96.27% 99.75% 1.34 1 4 102.1 #1 ≈ —
2 2 POWER OF DESTINY
23.56%
53.94% 71.80% 2.69 1 6 91.1 #6 ▲ —
3 4 ELLA IT IS
5.95%
33.36% 67.74% 3.03 1 6 86.8 #3 ≈ —
4 3 VAZHI
0.71%
15.84% 56.25% 3.33 1 6 84.1 #2 ≈ —
5 1 BEAUTIFUL SKY
0.01%
0.45% 3.43% 5.03 1 6 71.8 #5 ≈ ⚡ 1
6 6 PEACE POSEY
0.00%
0.14% 1.03% 5.58 2 6 67.3 #4 ≈ —

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 7 GALLEY HEAD 8-1 11.1%
69.77%
96.27% 99.75% 🔥 6.28x —
2 2 POWER OF DESTINY 5-2 28.6%
23.56%
53.94% 71.80% 0.82x —
3 4 ELLA IT IS 3-1 25%
5.95%
33.36% 67.74% 0.24x —
4 3 VAZHI 6-1 14.3%
0.71%
15.84% 56.25% 0.05x —
5 1 BEAUTIFUL SKY LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 20-1 4.8%
0.01%
0.45% 3.43% 0.00x ⚡ 1
6 6 PEACE POSEY LONGSHOT 20-1 4.8%
0.00%
0.14% 1.03% 0.00x —

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 6 horses, ~16.7% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
6 PEACE POSEY 19.7% 0.0% -19.7%
3 VAZHI 19.3% 0.7% -18.6%
4 ELLA IT IS 19.2% 6.0% -13.3%
7 GALLEY HEAD 17.9% 69.8% +51.9%
1 BEAUTIFUL SKY 16.9% 0.0% -16.9%
2 POWER OF DESTINY 15.3% 23.6% +8.3%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 7 GALLEY HEAD 69.8% 8-1
  2. 2 POWER OF DESTINY 23.6% 5-2
  3. 4 ELLA IT IS 6.0% 3-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 7 GALLEY HEAD 96.3% 8-1
  2. 2 POWER OF DESTINY 53.9% 5-2
  3. 4 ELLA IT IS 33.4% 3-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 7 GALLEY HEAD 99.8% 8-1
  2. 2 POWER OF DESTINY 71.8% 5-2
  3. 4 ELLA IT IS 67.7% 3-1
📋 Exacta Box
7-2-4
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
7 GALLEY HEAD 2 POWER OF DESTINY 4 ELLA IT IS
🎲 Trifecta
7-2-4
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
7 → 2-4-3
Key GALLEY HEAD to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
7-2-4-3
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
7/2 / 7/2 / 4/3/1 / 4/3/1
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

🏆 Actual Results

#ProgHorse Finish Margin Odds Sim Predicted
1 7 GALLEY HEAD — — Sim #1 (69.8% win)
2 2 POWER OF DESTINY — — Sim #2 (23.6% win)
3 3 VAZHI — — Sim #4 (0.7% win)
4 1 BEAUTIFUL SKY — — Sim #5 (0.0% win)
5 4 ELLA IT IS — — Sim #3 (6.0% win)
6 6 PEACE POSEY — — Sim #6 (0.0% win)

Official winner: GALLEY HEAD

✏️ Edit Results
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
7 GALLEY HEAD
2 POWER OF DESTINY
3 VAZHI
1 BEAUTIFUL SKY
4 ELLA IT IS
6 PEACE POSEY
5 SWINGING MANDY SCR Scratched