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DCENTRIES 11TH RPX MAY 1 J16500 20000 0 BUN 330.00 FURLONGS DIRT QUARTER HORSE OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP CLAIMING 20000-ALL PURSE $16500 (10:30) (10)

🏟 Remington Park 📅 2026-05-01 📏 330Y Dirt Clm 20000n3l 💰 $16,500
📡 Fetch History

Field — 10 Runners

1
MYSTERIOUS EAGLE V
0.3%
RPR 83
Form ----1212
Off 147d
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J VALLES GONZALO R JR
T HERNANDEZ-MARTINEZ JOSE
By GOLD HEART EAGLE V Out of MYSTERIOUS NIGHT
🥇 0.3% 🥈 2.0% 🥉 4.6% Avg 7.5 ⚡ 33 longshot wins
2
SHES THE PRIZE
1.3%
RPR 83
Form --1313---2
Off 33d
lbs 124
ML 5-1
J VEGA JOSE
T VALDIVIA SAMUEL E
By HES RELENTLESS Out of MY FIRST PRIZE FANCY
🥇 1.3% 🥈 4.9% 🥉 11.2% Avg 6.7
3
AJ FAVORITE OK
23.8%
RPR 96
Form ---1---13-
Off 12d
lbs 126
ML 6-1
J ESQUEDA ERIK N
T TRIANA JUAN MARTIN
By FAVORITE CARTEL Out of DF AJ GREEN LEAVES
🥇 23.8% 🥈 42.8% 🥉 57.3% Avg 3.7
4
JESS A LIL SWEETIE
9.9%
RPR 85
Form -211----
Off 35d
lbs 126
ML 7-2
J CRUZ ROMAN
T PUGH JALEN DELENZY
By A SWEET JESS Out of FURR FLYIN FLOOZI
🥇 9.9% 🥈 20.8% 🥉 32.3% Avg 5.4
5
TELLEROURSECRETS
16.9%
RPR 93
Form -------31-
Off 33d
lbs 126
ML 2-1
J ESTRADA GIOVANY
T ARROYO GERARDO
By HEZ OUR SECRET Out of TELLER N TELLERAGAIN
🥇 16.9% 🥈 30.5% 🥉 42.8% Avg 4.7
6
TORNADO JANE
1.6%
RPR 88
Form --3-22-2--
Off 15d
lbs 126
ML 15-1
J CALDERON FRANCISCO
T SWAN PATRICK E
By ONE FABULOUS EAGLE Out of FIRE BLU
🥇 1.6% 🥈 5.3% 🥉 12.1% Avg 6.5 ⚡ 163 longshot wins
7
SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY
30.8%
RPR 95
Form --312---12
Off 42d
lbs 126
ML 12-1
J AYALA JESUS RIOS
T IBARRA VICTOR
By FDD DYNASTY Out of SOUTHERN SUNSHINE
🥇 30.8% 🥈 55.7% 🥉 72.3% Avg 2.8 ⚡ 3080 longshot wins
8
FAMOUSLY INNOCENT
1.3%
RPR 83
Form 1----12-
Off 33d
lbs 124
ML 10-1
J CANDANOSA BRYAN
T DAVIS JOE M
By HES INNOCENT Out of FAMOUS NUMBERS FLY
🥇 1.3% 🥈 4.5% 🥉 11.1% Avg 6.3 ⚡ 127 longshot wins
9
FAST N SIXY
5.9%
RPR 88
Form -----2-3--
Off 40d
lbs 126
ML 12-1
J ESQUEDA CHRISTIAN
T RASCON-ALMANZA JULIO
By MR PILOTO Out of SIXY SILHOUETTE
🥇 5.9% 🥈 17.6% 🥉 32.6% Avg 4.8 ⚡ 591 longshot wins
10
BP RISKY BUSINESS
8.2%
RPR 84
Form -3-21-1-2-
Off 22d
lbs 126
ML 20-1
J ESCOBEDO EDWIN G
T VILLAFRANCO LUIS
By MOONIN THE EAGLE Out of BP VALIANT POLICY
🥇 8.2% 🥈 16.0% 🥉 23.7% Avg 6.5 ⚡ 815 longshot wins

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 3 AJ FAVORITE OK SPEED LEADER 96.3 6-1 12d ---13- 23.8%
2 7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY 95 12-1 42d 2---12 30.8%
3 5 TELLEROURSECRETS 93.7 2-1 33d ---31- 16.9%
4 6 TORNADO JANE 88.3 15-1 15d 22-2-- 1.6%
5 9 FAST N SIXY 88 12-1 40d -2-3-- 5.9%
6 4 JESS A LIL SWEETIE 85.3 7-2 35d 11---- 9.9%
7 10 BP RISKY BUSINESS 84 20-1 22d 1-1-2- 8.2%
8 1 MYSTERIOUS EAGLE V 83.7 15-1 147d --1212 0.3%
9 2 SHES THE PRIZE 83.3 5-1 33d 13---2 1.3%
10 8 FAMOUSLY INNOCENT 83 10-1 33d ---12- 1.3%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-18 20:01:29
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY
30.80%
55.69% 72.34% 2.80 1 10 98.3 #2 ≈ ⚡ 3080
2 3 AJ FAVORITE OK
23.75%
42.79% 57.33% 3.71 1 10 95.4 #1 ≈ —
3 5 TELLEROURSECRETS
16.91%
30.46% 42.79% 4.73 1 10 91.9 #3 ≈ —
4 4 JESS A LIL SWEETIE
9.92%
20.80% 32.29% 5.43 1 10 89.5 #6 ≈ —
5 10 BP RISKY BUSINESS
8.15%
15.97% 23.66% 6.51 1 10 85.1 #7 ≈ ⚡ 815
6 9 FAST N SIXY
5.91%
17.56% 32.63% 4.84 1 10 90.9 #5 ≈ ⚡ 591
7 6 TORNADO JANE
1.63%
5.34% 12.13% 6.55 1 10 85.8 #4 ▼ ⚡ 163
8 2 SHES THE PRIZE
1.33%
4.90% 11.21% 6.66 1 10 85.6 #9 ≈ —
9 8 FAMOUSLY INNOCENT
1.27%
4.53% 11.06% 6.31 1 10 86.7 #10 ≈ ⚡ 127
10 1 MYSTERIOUS EAGLE V
0.33%
1.96% 4.56% 7.46 1 10 83.4 #8 ≈ ⚡ 33

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 12-1 7.7%
30.80%
55.69% 72.34% 🔥 4.00x ⚡ 3080
2 10 BP RISKY BUSINESS LONGSHOT 20-1 4.8%
8.15%
15.97% 23.66% ✅ 1.71x ⚡ 815
3 3 AJ FAVORITE OK 6-1 14.3%
23.75%
42.79% 57.33% ✅ 1.66x —
4 9 FAST N SIXY LONGSHOT 12-1 7.7%
5.91%
17.56% 32.63% 0.77x ⚡ 591
5 5 TELLEROURSECRETS 2-1 33.3%
16.91%
30.46% 42.79% 0.51x —
6 4 JESS A LIL SWEETIE 7-2 22.2%
9.92%
20.80% 32.29% 0.45x —
7 6 TORNADO JANE LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
1.63%
5.34% 12.13% 0.26x ⚡ 163
8 8 FAMOUSLY INNOCENT LONGSHOT 10-1 9.1%
1.27%
4.53% 11.06% 0.14x ⚡ 127
9 2 SHES THE PRIZE 5-1 16.7%
1.33%
4.90% 11.21% 0.08x —
10 1 MYSTERIOUS EAGLE V LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
0.33%
1.96% 4.56% 0.05x ⚡ 33

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 10 horses, ~10% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
9 FAST N SIXY 12.9% 5.9% -7.0%
8 FAMOUSLY INNOCENT 11.8% 1.3% -10.5%
3 AJ FAVORITE OK 10.9% 23.8% +12.9%
7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY 10.8% 30.8% +20.0%
2 SHES THE PRIZE 10.3% 1.3% -9.0%
10 BP RISKY BUSINESS 9.8% 8.2% -1.7%
6 TORNADO JANE 9.4% 1.6% -7.8%
4 JESS A LIL SWEETIE 7.8% 9.9% +2.1%
5 TELLEROURSECRETS 7.1% 16.9% +9.8%
1 MYSTERIOUS EAGLE V 7.0% 0.3% -6.7%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY 30.8% 12-1
  2. 3 AJ FAVORITE OK 23.8% 6-1
  3. 5 TELLEROURSECRETS 16.9% 2-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY 55.7% 12-1
  2. 3 AJ FAVORITE OK 42.8% 6-1
  3. 5 TELLEROURSECRETS 30.5% 2-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY 72.3% 12-1
  2. 3 AJ FAVORITE OK 57.3% 6-1
  3. 5 TELLEROURSECRETS 42.8% 2-1
📋 Exacta Box
7-3-5
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY 3 AJ FAVORITE OK 5 TELLEROURSECRETS
🎲 Trifecta
7-3-5
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
7 → 3-5-4
Key SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
7-3-5-4
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
7/3 / 7/3 / 5/4/10 / 5/4/10
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 MYSTERIOUS EAGLE V
2 SHES THE PRIZE
3 AJ FAVORITE OK
4 JESS A LIL SWEETIE
5 TELLEROURSECRETS
6 TORNADO JANE
7 SUNNYSIDE DYNASTY
8 FAMOUSLY INNOCENT
9 FAST N SIXY
10 BP RISKY BUSINESS