Import DRF Add Race

← All Races

DNENTRIES 9TH DED MAY 1 STATE-BRED H10000 0 AOC 330.00 FURLONGS DIRT QUARTER HORSE COLTS AND GELDINGS 2 YEAR OLDS TRIALS PURSE $10000 (08:05) (8 )

🏟 Delta Downs 📅 2026-05-01 📏 330Y Dirt Trial 💰 $10,000
📡 Fetch History

Field — 8 Runners

1
TIPPIN MY IVORY
18.1%
lbs 124
ML 6-1
J ALVAREZ ARTURO
T GARCIA JUAN C
By IVORY JAMES Out of RF MISS DASHIN DUCK
🥇 18.1% 🥈 31.4% 🥉 41.6% Avg 4.4
2
CARTERS DAY
11.7%
RPR 83
Form -
Off 55d
lbs 124
ML 3-1
J FLORES-MUNOZ YOVANI
T SANCHEZ JOSE LUIS III
By CARTERS CARTEL Out of TODAYISNOTTHEDAY
🥇 11.7% 🥈 25.8% 🥉 39.3% Avg 4.3
3
JL SEE YA MAN
8.7%
RPR 83
Form 2-
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 5-1
J RODRIGUEZ YAIDEL
T MARTINEZ LUIS R JR
By KJ MUCHO MACHO MAN Out of JL MILLIONDOLLARDIVA
🥇 8.7% 🥈 31.0% 🥉 59.7% Avg 3.3
4
THE BOOPALOO CARTEL
9.6%
RPR 80
Form 3
Off 54d
lbs 124
ML 7-2
J EDISON R B
T OROZCO ORLANDO
By CARTERS CARTEL Out of BB STOLIS GIRL
🥇 9.6% 🥈 23.1% 🥉 36.0% Avg 4.5
5
ONE FABULOUS LOGAN
18.3%
lbs 124
ML 6-1
J GARCIA JUAN FRANCISCO JR
T ELLIS TREY
By ONE FABULOUS EAGLE Out of FAST DASHIN LOGAN
🥇 18.3% 🥈 30.7% 🥉 41.1% Avg 4.5
6
APOLITICAL BABY
0.5%
RPR 75
Form --
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 10-1
J BACA EDGAR RENE
T CARLOS KATIE
By APOLLITICAL BLOOD Out of CARRY ON BABY
🥇 0.5% 🥈 2.4% 🥉 8.8% Avg 5.5 ⚡ 51 longshot wins
7
PORTFOLIO
8.5%
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J VALLEJO RODRIGO SIGALA
T ARTEAGA ERICA
By ONE FABULOUS EAGLE Out of THRIVING IVORY
🥇 8.5% 🥈 16.5% 🥉 23.9% Avg 5.6 ⚡ 850 longshot wins
8
TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS
24.6%
lbs 124
ML 9-2
J ESPINOSA PEDRO CHAVARRIA
T ROBERTS KENNETH
By FREIGHTTRAIN B Out of FAMES LUCKY CHARM
🥇 24.6% 🥈 39.2% 🥉 49.6% Avg 3.9

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 2 CARTERS DAY SPEED LEADER 83 3-1 55d - 11.7%
2 3 JL SEE YA MAN 83 5-1 36d 2- 8.7%
3 4 THE BOOPALOO CARTEL 80 7-2 54d 3 9.6%
4 6 APOLITICAL BABY 75 10-1 35d -- 0.5%
5 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY — First starter 6-1 — — 18.1%
6 5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN — First starter 6-1 — — 18.3%
7 7 PORTFOLIO — First starter 15-1 — — 8.5%
8 8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS — First starter 9-2 — — 24.6%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-18 20:01:27
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS
24.60%
39.24% 49.58% 3.94 1 8 82.8 #8 ▲ —
2 5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN
18.33%
30.65% 41.12% 4.45 1 8 78.5 #6 ▲ —
3 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY
18.08%
31.37% 41.57% 4.41 1 8 79.0 #5 ≈ —
4 2 CARTERS DAY
11.70%
25.83% 39.25% 4.31 1 8 79.4 #1 ▼ —
5 4 THE BOOPALOO CARTEL
9.58%
23.13% 36.01% 4.52 1 8 78.1 #3 ≈ —
6 3 JL SEE YA MAN
8.70%
30.95% 59.72% 3.26 1 8 85.0 #2 ▼ —
7 7 PORTFOLIO
8.50%
16.45% 23.91% 5.57 1 8 68.2 #7 ≈ ⚡ 850
8 6 APOLITICAL BABY
0.51%
2.38% 8.84% 5.54 1 8 72.4 #4 ▼ ⚡ 51

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 7 PORTFOLIO LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 15-1 6.3%
8.50%
16.45% 23.91% 1.36x ⚡ 850
2 8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS 9-2 18.2%
24.60%
39.24% 49.58% 1.35x —
3 5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN 6-1 14.3%
18.33%
30.65% 41.12% 1.28x —
4 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY 6-1 14.3%
18.08%
31.37% 41.57% 1.27x —
5 3 JL SEE YA MAN 5-1 16.7%
8.70%
30.95% 59.72% 0.52x —
6 2 CARTERS DAY 3-1 25%
11.70%
25.83% 39.25% 0.47x —
7 4 THE BOOPALOO CARTEL 7-2 22.2%
9.58%
23.13% 36.01% 0.43x —
8 6 APOLITICAL BABY LONGSHOT 10-1 9.1%
0.51%
2.38% 8.84% 0.06x ⚡ 51

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 8 horses, ~12.5% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN 14.3% 18.3% +4.0%
6 APOLITICAL BABY 14.1% 0.5% -13.6%
1 TIPPIN MY IVORY 14.0% 18.1% +4.1%
2 CARTERS DAY 13.2% 11.7% -1.5%
8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS 12.9% 24.6% +11.7%
7 PORTFOLIO 11.4% 8.5% -2.9%
3 JL SEE YA MAN 10.9% 8.7% -2.2%
4 THE BOOPALOO CARTEL 10.3% 9.6% -0.7%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS 24.6% 9-2
  2. 5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN 18.3% 6-1
  3. 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY 18.1% 6-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS 39.2% 9-2
  2. 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY 31.4% 6-1
  3. 3 JL SEE YA MAN 31.0% 5-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 3 JL SEE YA MAN 59.7% 5-1
  2. 8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS 49.6% 9-2
  3. 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY 41.6% 6-1
📋 Exacta Box
8-5-1
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS 5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN 1 TIPPIN MY IVORY
🎲 Trifecta
8-5-1
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
8 → 5-1-2
Key TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
8-5-1-2
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
8/5 / 8/5 / 1/2/4 / 1/2/4
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 TIPPIN MY IVORY
2 CARTERS DAY
3 JL SEE YA MAN
4 THE BOOPALOO CARTEL
5 ONE FABULOUS LOGAN
6 APOLITICAL BABY
7 PORTFOLIO
8 TRUMPSMIDNITEEXPRESS